Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008008 0.009017 0.010124 0.011428 0.012929 0.014605 0.016625
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006249 0.007573 0.009150 0.011180 0.013742 0.016890 0.021090
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005472 0.006961 0.008837 0.011400 0.014849 0.019385 0.025894
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004838 0.006394 0.008444 0.011380 0.015545 0.021336 0.030174
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004197 0.005720 0.007798 0.010894 0.015476 0.022154 0.032889
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003813 0.005344 0.007503 0.010836 0.015974 0.023797 0.037019
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003654 0.005262 0.007605 0.011353 0.017369 0.026947 0.043981
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003286 0.004834 0.007146 0.010953 0.017261 0.027669 0.046965
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002998 0.004498 0.006793 0.010672 0.017297 0.028609 0.050438
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002812 0.004302 0.006636 0.010686 0.017820 0.030428 0.055779
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002738 0.004277 0.006746 0.011153 0.019172 0.033886 0.064820
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002562 0.004069 0.006536 0.011041 0.019463 0.035403 0.070196
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002423 0.003918 0.006418 0.011100 0.020115 0.037770 0.077952
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002248 0.003693 0.006156 0.010872 0.020196 0.039030 0.083557
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002159 0.003609 0.006133 0.011085 0.021164 0.042238 0.094246
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002045 0.003470 0.005998 0.011066 0.021656 0.044495 0.103108
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001878 0.003226 0.005650 0.010594 0.021141 0.044458 0.106202
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001782 0.003102 0.005516 0.010539 0.021512 0.046481 0.115082
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001762 0.003118 0.005649 0.011040 0.023169 0.051766 0.134023
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001638 0.002929 0.005370 0.010652 0.022762 0.051983 0.138621
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001537 0.002778 0.005155 0.010379 0.022593 0.052774 0.145106
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001475 0.002698 0.005075 0.010393 0.023107 0.055393 0.157815
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001462 0.002712 0.005187 0.010846 0.024743 0.061245 0.182376